Fraser Minten vs Justin Dowling
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.3% vs Dowling 48.9% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 51.5%
Defensive zone
Dowling 52.2%
Neutral zone
Dowling 52.7%
Result
Justin Dowling favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Minten
Dowling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Minten
Dowling
Last 6: Minten 4-2 Dowling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Minten
Dowling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Dowling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Minten
Dowling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Dowling
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (841)
49.4% (652)
-0.5%
Power Play
47.5% (61)
40.6% (32)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (49)
33.3% (9)
+3.4%
On power play, Minten has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowling shoots left. Minten is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (624).
Minten shoots left. Dowling is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (455).
Home / Away
Minten
Dowling
Home
51.9% (476)
48.2% (301)
Away
44.4% (475)
49.2% (392)
By Period
Minten
Dowling
P1
44.4%
47.6%
P2
46.8%
50.4%
P3
52.3%
48.3%
Final 5 min
44.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 09:31 | Neutral | Justin Dowling |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | Justin Dowling |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |