Fraser Minten vs Michael Rasmussen
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael Rasmussen holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rasmussen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.6% vs Rasmussen 50.5% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 54.9%
Defensive zone
Minten 51.9%
Neutral zone
Minten 55.8%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Minten
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Minten
Rasmussen
Last 5: Minten 1-4 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten
Rasmussen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
4
Minten
Rasmussen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (457)
50.0% (208)
+0.1%
Power Play
38.1% (21)
83.3% (6)
-45.2%
Penalty Kill
31.4% (35)
45.5% (11)
-14.1%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +45.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Minten is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Minten shoots left. Rasmussen is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Minten
Rasmussen
Home
50.0% (264)
51.0% (96)
Away
46.6% (249)
50.4% (129)
By Period
Minten
Rasmussen
P1
44.6%
44.6%
P2
49.7%
58.9%
P3
50.3%
45.7%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
58.0%▲
46.0%
48.3%
Rasmussen
48.0%▼
50.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |