Fraser Minten vs Michael Rasmussen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.6%). Look for Rasmussen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.0% vs Rasmussen 48.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 53.0%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 53.8%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 50.7%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Minten
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Minten
Rasmussen
Last 5: Minten 1-4 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten
Rasmussen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
4
Minten
Rasmussen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (647)
48.7% (1,830)
+0.3%
Power Play
40.6% (32)
54.6% (152)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (39)
41.5% (142)
-8.2%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Minten is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Minten shoots left. Rasmussen is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,318).
Home / Away
Minten
Rasmussen
Home
50.1% (391)
48.5% (1,085)
Away
45.0% (327)
48.8% (1,039)
By Period
Minten
Rasmussen
P1
43.6%
48.4%
P2
48.5%
49.8%
P3
50.8%
47.3%
OT
66.7%
59.1%
Final 5 min
44.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
58.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Rasmussen
48.0%▼
50.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |