Fraser Minten vs Michael Rasmussen
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Fraser Minten holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Rasmussen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.8% vs Rasmussen 47.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rasmussen 58.8%
Defensive zone
Rasmussen 64.6%
Neutral zone
Rasmussen 61.6%
Result
Michael Rasmussen favored at 63.5%
36.5%
63.5%
Minten
Rasmussen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Minten
Rasmussen
Last 5: Minten 1-4 Rasmussen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten
Rasmussen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rasmussen
0
4
Minten
Rasmussen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Rasmussen
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (651)
46.8% (248)
+2.8%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
62.5% (8)
-14.5%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (45)
43.8% (16)
-8.2%
On power play, Rasmussen has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rasmussen shoots left. Minten is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Minten shoots left. Rasmussen is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Minten
Rasmussen
Home
52.4% (349)
50.0% (98)
Away
45.3% (397)
45.4% (174)
By Period
Minten
Rasmussen
P1
45.4%
40.2%
P2
47.1%
55.8%
P3
52.3%
43.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.7%
Rasmussen
32.0%▼
43.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 11:41 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | Michael Rasmussen |