Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Minten on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Minten wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.8% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 61.5%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 80.5%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 73.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Minten
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Minten
Zibanejad
Last 8: Minten 6-2 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
4
1
Minten
Zibanejad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Minten
Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (651)
53.3% (807)
-3.7%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
47.6% (42)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (45)
46.3% (147)
-10.7%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Minten is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Minten shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (729).
Home / Away
Minten
Zibanejad
Home
52.4% (349)
49.8% (466)
Away
45.3% (397)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Minten
Zibanejad
P1
45.4%
52.9%
P2
47.1%
51.2%
P3
52.3%
51.7%
OT
83.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.5%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.7%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 13:10 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 03:46 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 11:34 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |