Fraser Minten vs Mika Zibanejad

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Minten on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Minten wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Minten 48.3% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Zibanejad 71.4%
Defensive zone Zibanejad 73.9%
Neutral zone Zibanejad 75.7%
Result Mika Zibanejad favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Minten Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 2 (8 meetings)
6
2
Minten Zibanejad
Last 8: Minten 6-2 Zibanejad

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
4
1
Minten Zibanejad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Minten Zibanejad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
1
0
Minten Zibanejad
1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Minten
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (841)
50.9% (11,756)
-2.0%
Power Play
47.5% (61)
52.2% (1,852)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (49)
41.6% (1,796)
-4.9%
On penalty kill, Zibanejad has a +4.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Minten is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Minten shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Home / Away
Minten
Zibanejad
Home
51.9% (476)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
44.4% (475)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
Minten
Zibanejad
P1
44.4%
50.4%
P2
46.8%
49.7%
P3
52.3%
49.9%
OT
83.3%
48.7%
Final 5 min
44.7%
48.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%
50.0%
48.2%
Zibanejad
58.0%
53.0%
50.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 26, 2026 2 11:28 Offensive Mika Zibanejad
Jan 10, 2026 3 13:15 Offensive Fraser Minten
Jan 10, 2026 3 13:10 Defensive Mika Zibanejad
Jan 10, 2026 3 03:46 Offensive Fraser Minten
Jan 10, 2026 3 00:33 Defensive Fraser Minten
Jan 10, 2026 1 11:34 Offensive Fraser Minten
Nov 28, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Fraser Minten
Nov 28, 2025 1 18:21 Offensive Fraser Minten