Fraser Minten vs Oliver Kapanen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Fraser Minten holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Minten on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Minten wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.3% vs Kapanen 46.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 60.8%
Defensive zone
Minten 67.7%
Neutral zone
Minten 62.0%
Result
Fraser Minten favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Minten
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Minten
Kapanen
Last 7: Minten 5-2 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
2
Minten
Kapanen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Kapanen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
3
0
Minten
Kapanen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (841)
46.3% (572)
+2.6%
Power Play
47.5% (61)
50.9% (53)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (49)
39.5% (38)
-2.8%
On power play, Kapanen has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Minten is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Minten shoots left. Kapanen is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Minten
Kapanen
Home
51.9% (476)
46.3% (348)
Away
44.4% (475)
46.3% (315)
By Period
Minten
Kapanen
P1
44.4%
41.7%
P2
46.8%
49.6%
P3
52.3%
47.5%
OT
83.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 09:46 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:09 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:27 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |