Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Minten on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Minten wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.8% vs Pinto 51.1% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 55.5%
Defensive zone
Pinto 83.2%
Neutral zone
Pinto 54.5%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Minten
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Minten
Pinto
Last 5: Minten 4-1 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
4
1
Minten
Pinto
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (651)
50.5% (556)
-0.9%
Power Play
48.0% (50)
68.0% (25)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (45)
51.1% (94)
-15.5%
On power play, Pinto has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Minten is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (269).
Minten shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Minten
Pinto
Home
52.4% (349)
50.0% (310)
Away
45.3% (397)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Minten
Pinto
P1
45.4%
51.8%
P2
47.1%
49.8%
P3
52.3%
53.1%
OT
83.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.7%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 17:38 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:58 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |