Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Minten on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Minten wins 46.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.3% vs Pinto 50.4% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 50.5%
Defensive zone
Pinto 78.8%
Neutral zone
Pinto 64.0%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Minten
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Minten
Pinto
Last 5: Minten 4-1 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
4
1
Minten
Pinto
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (841)
50.7% (2,752)
-1.8%
Power Play
47.5% (61)
54.4% (90)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (49)
45.6% (239)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Minten is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Minten shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,216).
Home / Away
Minten
Pinto
Home
51.9% (476)
51.1% (1,510)
Away
44.4% (475)
49.6% (1,571)
By Period
Minten
Pinto
P1
44.4%
48.4%
P2
46.8%
51.9%
P3
52.3%
50.9%
OT
83.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
44.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
52.0%▲
50.0%
48.2%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 17:38 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:58 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |