Frederick Gaudreau vs Jack McBain
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs McBain 50.9% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McBain 62.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 80.5%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 53.9%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Gaudreau
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gaudreau
McBain
Last 5: Gaudreau 2-3 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
0
1
Gaudreau
McBain
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudreau
McBain
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
52.5% (569)
-7.6%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
42.1% (19)
-10.3%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
36.2% (47)
+1.8%
On power play, McBain has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. McBain is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (261).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
McBain
Home
42.6% (277)
52.4% (309)
Away
43.1% (288)
49.7% (326)
By Period
Gaudreau
McBain
P1
44.1%
54.0%
P2
44.7%
52.7%
P3
39.5%
46.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Jack McBain |