Frederick Gaudreau vs Jack McBain
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs McBain 46.7% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 16-10 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 55.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 64.0%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 56.9%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Gaudreau
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
10
(26 meetings)
16
10
Gaudreau
McBain
Last 10: Gaudreau 6-4 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
6
2
Gaudreau
McBain
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McBain
2
4
Gaudreau
McBain
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
8
4
Gaudreau
McBain
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
48.1% (2,322)
+0.5%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
44.6% (56)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
35.6% (309)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Gaudreau shoots right. McBain is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
McBain
Home
49.2% (2,437)
49.1% (1,379)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
44.0% (1,308)
By Period
Gaudreau
McBain
P1
49.7%
47.1%
P2
47.3%
47.4%
P3
49.1%
45.4%
OT
35.5%
37.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
McBain
48.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 02:41 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 2 | 10:51 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 12, 2025 | 1 | 02:38 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:10 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 09:30 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 03:47 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:45 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:38 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 08:38 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:04 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 06:10 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jack McBain |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 08:38 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 08:01 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |