Frederick Gaudreau vs Kevin Stenlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Stenlund 54.2% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stenlund 72.8%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 68.6%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 72.3%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
56.2% (650)
-11.3%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
53.2% (47)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
51.6% (312)
-13.6%
On power play, Stenlund has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Gaudreau shoots right. Stenlund is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Home
42.6% (277)
56.9% (483)
Away
43.1% (288)
52.5% (526)
By Period
Gaudreau
Stenlund
P1
44.1%
54.2%
P2
44.7%
53.2%
P3
39.5%
56.9%
OT
0.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |