Frederick Gaudreau vs Kevin Stenlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Stenlund 53.9% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 68.2%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 62.0%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 51.4%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Last 10: Gaudreau 5-5 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
5
1
Gaudreau
Stenlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
3
Gaudreau
Stenlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Gaudreau
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
55.3% (2,738)
-6.7%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
52.6% (116)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
50.4% (924)
-3.7%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,283).
Gaudreau shoots right. Stenlund is 48.2% vs right-shot opponents (932).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Stenlund
Home
49.2% (2,437)
54.3% (1,873)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
53.8% (1,905)
By Period
Gaudreau
Stenlund
P1
49.7%
56.2%
P2
47.3%
53.3%
P3
49.1%
53.0%
OT
35.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 04:59 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:35 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 12:25 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 27, 2022 | 1 | 06:33 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |