Frederick Gaudreau vs Mason McTavish
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mason McTavish holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs McTavish 49.1% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 57.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 93.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 74.8%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
Gaudreau
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Gaudreau
McTavish
Last 10: Gaudreau 3-7 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
6
Gaudreau
McTavish
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
0
Gaudreau
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Gaudreau
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
47.6% (618)
-2.7%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
58.3% (103)
-26.5%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
33.3% (6)
+4.7%
On power play, McTavish has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. McTavish is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
McTavish
Home
42.6% (277)
52.2% (391)
Away
43.1% (288)
45.2% (336)
By Period
Gaudreau
McTavish
P1
44.1%
50.2%
P2
44.7%
47.7%
P3
39.5%
49.2%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:38 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |