Frederick Gaudreau vs Mason McTavish
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.7%). Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs McTavish 48.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 22-17 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 66.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 71.1%
Neutral zone
McTavish 53.3%
Result
Mason McTavish favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Gaudreau
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
22
(39 meetings)
17
22
Gaudreau
McTavish
Last 10: Gaudreau 3-7 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
3
13
Gaudreau
McTavish
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
10
3
Gaudreau
McTavish
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
4
6
Gaudreau
McTavish
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
48.2% (2,790)
+0.4%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
52.8% (436)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
34.3% (35)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Gaudreau shoots right. McTavish is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,103).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
McTavish
Home
49.2% (2,437)
49.8% (1,680)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
47.4% (1,581)
By Period
Gaudreau
McTavish
P1
49.7%
50.0%
P2
47.3%
47.7%
P3
49.1%
48.4%
OT
35.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 14:50 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 3 | 02:21 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 14:58 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:38 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:39 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 09:55 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 06:01 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |