Frederick Gaudreau vs Matt Duchene
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Duchene 54.1% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 92.7%
Defensive zone
Duchene 63.1%
Neutral zone
Duchene 80.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 79.2%
20.8%
79.2%
Gaudreau
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
8
(19 meetings)
11
8
Gaudreau
Duchene
Last 10: Gaudreau 8-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
3
5
Gaudreau
Duchene
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
6
1
Gaudreau
Duchene
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudreau
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
53.9% (10,438)
-5.3%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
57.0% (1,677)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
49.1% (468)
-2.4%
On even strength, Duchene has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Gaudreau shoots right. Duchene is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,518).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Duchene
Home
49.2% (2,437)
55.6% (6,430)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
52.7% (6,177)
By Period
Gaudreau
Duchene
P1
49.7%
54.4%
P2
47.3%
54.5%
P3
49.1%
53.4%
OT
35.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 05:35 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 14:15 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 01:58 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 02:06 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 16:49 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 8, 2024 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 02:23 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |