Frederick Gaudreau vs Mika Zibanejad
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 91.7%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 55.7%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 86.4%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 81.4%
18.6%
81.4%
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
0
1
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
53.3% (807)
-8.4%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
47.6% (42)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
46.3% (147)
-8.3%
On power play, Zibanejad has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Gaudreau shoots right. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
Home
42.6% (277)
49.8% (466)
Away
43.1% (288)
54.0% (530)
By Period
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
P1
44.1%
52.9%
P2
44.7%
51.2%
P3
39.5%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |