Frederick Gaudreau vs Mika Zibanejad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mika Zibanejad holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 55.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 81.5%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 68.7%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
16
(27 meetings)
11
16
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
Last 10: Gaudreau 5-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
3
6
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
7
2
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
8
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
50.9% (11,756)
-2.3%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
52.2% (1,852)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
41.6% (1,796)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,283).
Gaudreau shoots right. Zibanejad is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,695).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
Home
49.2% (2,437)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
Gaudreau
Zibanejad
P1
49.7%
50.4%
P2
47.3%
49.7%
P3
49.1%
49.9%
OT
35.5%
48.7%
Final 5 min
47.6%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 03:28 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:42 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:26 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 05:51 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:42 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 13, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 13:57 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 13:35 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 18:27 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 00:17 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 17:18 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 12:08 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |