Frederick Gaudreau vs Mikael Backlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.4% vs Backlund 48.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 66.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 59.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 56.1%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Gaudreau
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Gaudreau
Backlund
Last 6: Gaudreau 1-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudreau
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Gaudreau
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Gaudreau
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (858)
50.4% (1,032)
-1.2%
Power Play
39.0% (41)
52.3% (107)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (198)
40.6% (313)
+5.4%
On power play, Backlund has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Gaudreau shoots right. Backlund is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Backlund
Home
47.1% (546)
48.7% (749)
Away
49.4% (551)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Gaudreau
Backlund
P1
46.8%
50.4%
P2
46.8%
50.1%
P3
51.1%
45.8%
OT
40.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.2%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:28 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:49 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 10:17 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |