Frederick Gaudreau vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Backlund 49.8% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaudreau 64.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 71.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 70.2%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Gaudreau
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Gaudreau
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Gaudreau
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
50.5% (944)
-5.6%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
51.5% (66)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
47.1% (297)
-9.1%
On power play, Backlund has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Backlund is 49.6% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Backlund
Home
42.6% (277)
48.1% (636)
Away
43.1% (288)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Gaudreau
Backlund
P1
44.1%
45.4%
P2
44.7%
54.1%
P3
39.5%
49.2%
OT
0.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
47.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |