Frederick Gaudreau vs Morgan Frost
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Frost 56.4% (-14.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 75.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 91.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 67.3%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Gaudreau
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Gaudreau
Frost
Last 6: Gaudreau 2-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
4
Gaudreau
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
56.0% (755)
-11.1%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
60.1% (173)
-28.3%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
88.9% (9)
-50.9%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +50.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Frost is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Frost
Home
42.6% (277)
57.3% (497)
Away
43.1% (288)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Gaudreau
Frost
P1
44.1%
60.2%
P2
44.7%
56.0%
P3
39.5%
54.8%
OT
0.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
47.2%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |