Frederick Gaudreau vs Morgan Frost

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Morgan Frost holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Gaudreau 48.6% vs Frost 50.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor Frost leads 20-15 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone Frost 56.6%
Defensive zone Gaudreau 86.3%
Neutral zone Gaudreau 64.2%
Result Frederick Gaudreau favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Gaudreau Frost
Head-to-Head Record
15 - 20 (35 meetings)
15
20
Gaudreau Frost
Last 10: Gaudreau 3-7 Frost

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
13
Gaudreau Frost
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
9
4
Gaudreau Frost
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Gaudreau Frost
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Gaudreau
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
49.7% (3,652)
-1.1%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
55.4% (632)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
55.0% (40)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +8.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Frost shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Gaudreau shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Frost
Home
49.2% (2,437)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Gaudreau
Frost
P1
49.7%
51.2%
P2
47.3%
51.3%
P3
49.1%
48.8%
OT
35.5%
64.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%
42.5%
48.5%
Frost
68.0%
63.0%
50.6%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 5, 2026 2 07:05 Offensive Morgan Frost
Jan 5, 2026 2 06:44 Offensive Morgan Frost
Dec 18, 2025 3 10:42 Offensive Morgan Frost
Dec 18, 2025 2 15:08 Defensive Frederick Gaudreau
Dec 18, 2025 2 07:18 Defensive Frederick Gaudreau
Dec 18, 2025 2 07:14 Offensive Morgan Frost
Dec 14, 2024 3 02:03 Neutral Morgan Frost
Dec 14, 2024 2 13:22 Offensive Morgan Frost
Dec 14, 2024 1 19:06 Defensive Frederick Gaudreau
Dec 14, 2024 1 16:45 Offensive Morgan Frost
Oct 26, 2024 3 02:15 Offensive Frederick Gaudreau
Oct 26, 2024 2 19:56 Neutral Morgan Frost
Oct 26, 2024 2 09:10 Defensive Morgan Frost
Oct 26, 2024 1 19:28 Defensive Frederick Gaudreau
Oct 26, 2024 1 01:18 Neutral Morgan Frost
Jan 12, 2024 1 01:37 Offensive Morgan Frost
Mar 23, 2023 OT 00:40 Offensive Morgan Frost
Mar 23, 2023 3 11:48 Defensive Morgan Frost
Mar 23, 2023 2 16:45 Defensive Morgan Frost
Mar 23, 2023 2 09:22 Defensive Morgan Frost