Frederick Gaudreau vs Morgan Frost
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Frost 50.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 20-15 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 56.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 86.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 64.2%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Gaudreau
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
20
(35 meetings)
15
20
Gaudreau
Frost
Last 10: Gaudreau 3-7 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
3
13
Gaudreau
Frost
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
9
4
Gaudreau
Frost
13 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Gaudreau
Frost
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
49.7% (3,652)
-1.1%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
55.4% (632)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
55.0% (40)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Gaudreau shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,481).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Frost
Home
49.2% (2,437)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Gaudreau
Frost
P1
49.7%
51.2%
P2
47.3%
51.3%
P3
49.1%
48.8%
OT
35.5%
64.9%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 5, 2026 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:08 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:18 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 02:03 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 19:06 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 19:56 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 1 | 01:18 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 12, 2024 | 1 | 01:37 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 23, 2023 | OT | 00:40 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 16:45 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 09:22 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |