Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan McLeod
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs McLeod 47.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 79.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 56.0%
Neutral zone
McLeod 67.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Gaudreau
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Gaudreau
McLeod
Last 7: Gaudreau 5-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudreau
McLeod
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
0
Gaudreau
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
49.0% (827)
-4.1%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
44.0% (91)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
43.0% (272)
-5.0%
On power play, McLeod has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. McLeod is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (415).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
McLeod
Home
42.6% (277)
48.5% (619)
Away
43.1% (288)
45.9% (571)
By Period
Gaudreau
McLeod
P1
44.1%
52.7%
P2
44.7%
43.9%
P3
39.5%
45.8%
OT
0.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
47.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 04:09 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |