Frederick Gaudreau vs Ryan McLeod
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 49.4%). Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs McLeod 49.5% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
McLeod leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 53.7%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 57.2%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 54.5%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Gaudreau
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
13
(22 meetings)
9
13
Gaudreau
McLeod
Last 10: Gaudreau 5-5 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
7
Gaudreau
McLeod
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
5
Gaudreau
McLeod
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
50.4% (3,376)
-1.8%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
50.7% (296)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
44.1% (644)
+2.6%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Gaudreau shoots right. McLeod is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,507).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
McLeod
Home
49.2% (2,437)
50.0% (2,202)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
48.9% (2,114)
By Period
Gaudreau
McLeod
P1
49.7%
50.8%
P2
47.3%
48.0%
P3
49.1%
50.0%
OT
35.5%
37.1%
Final 5 min
47.6%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
McLeod
40.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 04:09 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 10:41 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:14 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 10:47 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Dec 8, 2023 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:10 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 01:44 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |