Frederick Gaudreau vs Sean Kuraly
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 52.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 62.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 52.5%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Gaudreau
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Gaudreau
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Gaudreau
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
52.6% (464)
-7.7%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
100.0% (1)
-68.2%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
46.5% (155)
-8.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +68.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (235).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Kuraly
Home
42.6% (277)
55.9% (322)
Away
43.1% (288)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Gaudreau
Kuraly
P1
44.1%
55.9%
P2
44.7%
46.7%
P3
39.5%
50.7%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |