Frederick Gaudreau vs Sean Kuraly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Gaudreau leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Kuraly 50.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 86.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 73.1%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Gaudreau
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Gaudreau
Kuraly
Last 10: Gaudreau 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
6
2
Gaudreau
Kuraly
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Gaudreau
Kuraly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
3
0
Gaudreau
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
51.6% (5,161)
-3.0%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
56.4% (101)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
44.4% (1,091)
+2.3%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Gaudreau shoots right. Kuraly is 46.0% vs right-shot opponents (2,235).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Kuraly
Home
49.2% (2,437)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Gaudreau
Kuraly
P1
49.7%
51.2%
P2
47.3%
50.0%
P3
49.1%
50.2%
OT
35.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 15:29 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 11:07 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 19:40 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 11, 2022 | 2 | 04:35 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 22, 2018 | 2 | 02:31 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 05:04 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 17:13 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 4, 2017 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |