Frederick Gaudreau vs Sean Monahan
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Monahan 52.5% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 70.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 82.2%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 53.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 62.7%
37.3%
62.7%
Gaudreau
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Gaudreau
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Gaudreau
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
53.0% (874)
-8.1%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
54.7% (161)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
47.5% (101)
-9.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Monahan is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Monahan
Home
42.6% (277)
53.8% (558)
Away
43.1% (288)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Gaudreau
Monahan
P1
44.1%
49.5%
P2
44.7%
54.8%
P3
39.5%
52.8%
OT
0.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
47.2%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |