Frederick Gaudreau vs Sean Monahan
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Monahan 51.2% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 25-25 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 67.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 77.9%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 51.7%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Gaudreau
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
25
(50 meetings)
25
25
Gaudreau
Monahan
Last 10: Gaudreau 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
6
17
Gaudreau
Monahan
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
14
2
Gaudreau
Monahan
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
5
6
Gaudreau
Monahan
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
51.1% (11,407)
-2.5%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
53.6% (2,582)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
45.9% (772)
+0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Gaudreau shoots right. Monahan is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,426).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Monahan
Home
49.2% (2,437)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Gaudreau
Monahan
P1
49.7%
51.0%
P2
47.3%
51.7%
P3
49.1%
51.0%
OT
35.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 08:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:03 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 07:47 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 02:52 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 02:58 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 17:22 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 18:27 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 14:08 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |