Frederick Gaudreau vs Trevor Zegras
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Zegras 37.0% (+9.9%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 86.1%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 88.9%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 52.4%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Gaudreau
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
33.0% (264)
+11.9%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
32.1% (56)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
50.0% (2)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Zegras
Home
42.6% (277)
35.3% (173)
Away
43.1% (288)
30.2% (149)
By Period
Gaudreau
Zegras
P1
44.1%
33.0%
P2
44.7%
35.7%
P3
39.5%
29.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.2%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
32.9%