Frederick Gaudreau vs Trevor Zegras
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Zegras 39.5% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Zegras leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Zegras 88.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 60.3%
Neutral zone
Zegras 76.7%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Gaudreau
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Gaudreau
Zegras
Last 10: Gaudreau 4-6 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
4
Gaudreau
Zegras
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudreau
Zegras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
3
Gaudreau
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
39.0% (1,703)
+9.6%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
38.5% (148)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
25.0% (8)
+21.7%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Gaudreau shoots right. Zegras is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (605).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Zegras
Home
49.2% (2,437)
40.5% (908)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
37.3% (951)
By Period
Gaudreau
Zegras
P1
49.7%
40.0%
P2
47.3%
38.6%
P3
49.1%
38.2%
OT
35.5%
31.6%
Final 5 min
47.6%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Zegras
42.0%▲
28.0%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 16:32 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |