Frederick Gaudreau vs Trevor Zegras
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zegras on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.7% vs Zegras 40.2% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Zegras leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Zegras 88.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 57.4%
Neutral zone
Zegras 76.5%
Result
Trevor Zegras favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Gaudreau
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Gaudreau
Zegras
Last 10: Gaudreau 4-6 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
2
4
Gaudreau
Zegras
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gaudreau
Zegras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
3
Gaudreau
Zegras
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (3,671)
39.5% (1,582)
+9.3%
Power Play
55.0% (209)
41.4% (133)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (749)
28.6% (7)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, Gaudreau has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,368).
Gaudreau shoots right. Zegras is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (552).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Zegras
Home
49.4% (2,377)
40.6% (833)
Away
48.0% (2,252)
38.7% (889)
By Period
Gaudreau
Zegras
P1
49.8%
41.2%
P2
47.3%
39.1%
P3
49.3%
38.5%
OT
36.7%
35.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
48.7%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:36 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 2 | 15:38 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Jan 14, 2022 | 1 | 07:25 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 16:32 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 10:25 | Defensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 15, 2021 | 3 | 14:07 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |