Frederick Gaudreau vs Zack Ostapchuk
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Gaudreau wins 42.8% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Ostapchuk 50.6% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 50.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 78.4%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 55.8%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
Last 5: Gaudreau 2-3 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (414)
52.5% (320)
-7.6%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
33.3% (3)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
38.0% (129)
42.4% (59)
-4.4%
On even strength, Ostapchuk has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Gaudreau shoots right. Ostapchuk is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
Home
42.6% (277)
49.1% (171)
Away
43.1% (288)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
P1
44.1%
50.4%
P2
44.7%
46.8%
P3
39.5%
55.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |