Frederick Gaudreau vs Zack Ostapchuk
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 48.5%). Look for Ostapchuk on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 48.6% vs Ostapchuk 48.7% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 55.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 54.5%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 51.1%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
Last 8: Gaudreau 4-4 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
2
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (3,770)
49.1% (632)
-0.5%
Power Play
53.9% (219)
28.6% (7)
+25.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (793)
45.5% (66)
+1.2%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Gaudreau is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,499).
Gaudreau shoots right. Ostapchuk is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
Home
49.2% (2,437)
48.6% (329)
Away
47.8% (2,345)
48.4% (376)
By Period
Gaudreau
Ostapchuk
P1
49.7%
48.5%
P2
47.3%
46.4%
P3
49.1%
50.7%
Final 5 min
47.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
48.5%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:43 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 15:59 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 13:42 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 02:08 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |