Scouting Report
Ryan Donato holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.4% vs Donato 47.1% (-3.6%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 70.8%
Defensive zone
Donato 73.4%
Neutral zone
Donato 52.3%
Result
Ryan Donato favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Vilardi
Donato
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (70)
46.8% (297)
-5.4%
Power Play
48.0% (25)
41.0% (39)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
100.0% (1)
-100.0%
On penalty kill, Donato has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Vilardi is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Vilardi shoots right. Donato is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Donato
Home
40.0% (50)
45.8% (142)
Away
45.7% (46)
46.7% (195)
By Period
Vilardi
Donato
P1
48.6%
49.5%
P2
37.1%
45.7%
P3
41.7%
43.4%
Final 5 min
52.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.7%
Donato
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.3%