Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 48.4% vs Hartman 47.3% (-1.2%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 59.4%
Defensive zone
Hartman 72.8%
Neutral zone
Hartman 57.3%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Vilardi
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (41)
47.1% (649)
+9.0%
Power Play
22.2% (18)
47.1% (68)
-24.9%
On power play, Hartman has a +24.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Vilardi is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (15).
Vilardi shoots right. Hartman is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Hartman
Home
46.9% (32)
46.5% (361)
Away
44.4% (27)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Vilardi
Hartman
P1
57.1%
45.1%
P2
40.0%
44.4%
P3
38.5%
50.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
38.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.0%