Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.4% vs Hartman 45.6% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 71.3%
Defensive zone
Hartman 76.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 56.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 76.3%
23.7%
76.3%
Vilardi
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Vilardi
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
1
0
Vilardi
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (70)
45.1% (874)
-3.7%
Power Play
48.0% (25)
47.4% (95)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
37.5% (16)
-37.5%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Vilardi is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (27).
Vilardi shoots right. Hartman is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Hartman
Home
40.0% (50)
45.0% (515)
Away
45.7% (46)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Vilardi
Hartman
P1
48.6%
47.3%
P2
37.1%
40.1%
P3
41.7%
48.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.7%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 01:09 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |