Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.4% vs O'Reilly 55.0% (-12.7%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 68.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 78.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Vilardi
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (70)
55.7% (856)
-14.3%
Power Play
48.0% (25)
57.5% (233)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (144)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Vilardi is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Vilardi shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
Vilardi
O'Reilly
Home
40.0% (50)
55.5% (616)
Away
45.7% (46)
55.3% (617)
By Period
Vilardi
O'Reilly
P1
48.6%
58.1%
P2
37.1%
54.9%
P3
41.7%
53.9%
Final 5 min
52.2%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.4%