Gabriel Vilardi vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Vilardi wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.8% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 24-15 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Vilardi 82.9%
Defensive zone
Vilardi 89.9%
Neutral zone
Vilardi 92.7%
Result
Gabriel Vilardi favored at 87.4%
87.4%
12.6%
Vilardi
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
24
(39 meetings)
15
24
Vilardi
O'Reilly
Last 10: Vilardi 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
8
10
Vilardi
O'Reilly
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
8
Vilardi
O'Reilly
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
5
6
Vilardi
O'Reilly
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,054)
56.2% (15,290)
-10.5%
Power Play
51.0% (196)
58.7% (3,457)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (27)
51.4% (2,826)
-3.3%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Vilardi is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (936).
Vilardi shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,705).
Home / Away
Vilardi
O'Reilly
Home
47.1% (660)
57.6% (10,799)
Away
46.0% (617)
54.4% (10,807)
By Period
Vilardi
O'Reilly
P1
49.4%
55.6%
P2
43.7%
57.0%
P3
46.7%
55.0%
OT
33.3%
62.2%
Final 5 min
49.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:55 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 04:09 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:22 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 00:17 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 05:57 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Oct 25, 2021 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 14:04 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 13:51 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 17, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |