Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Vilardi wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.4% vs Nosek 48.5% (-4.7%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 78.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 78.9%
Neutral zone
Nosek 54.7%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Vilardi
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (70)
52.0% (102)
-10.6%
Power Play
48.0% (25)
100.0% (2)
-52.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
29.0% (31)
-29.0%
On power play, Nosek has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Vilardi is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Vilardi shoots right. Nosek is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Nosek
Home
40.0% (50)
52.0% (50)
Away
45.7% (46)
44.7% (85)
By Period
Vilardi
Nosek
P1
48.6%
45.0%
P2
37.1%
42.0%
P3
41.7%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.2%
43.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.7%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
47.4%