Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Vilardi on offensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Vilardi wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.8% vs Nosek 53.6% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Vilardi leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Vilardi 62.9%
Defensive zone
Nosek 85.2%
Neutral zone
Nosek 70.5%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Vilardi
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Vilardi
Nosek
Last 10: Vilardi 6-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
5
4
Vilardi
Nosek
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Vilardi
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Vilardi
Nosek
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (1,054)
54.9% (2,710)
-9.2%
Power Play
51.0% (196)
45.8% (48)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (27)
47.2% (428)
+0.9%
On even strength, Nosek has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Vilardi is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (936).
Vilardi shoots right. Nosek is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,227).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Nosek
Home
47.1% (660)
52.8% (1,656)
Away
46.0% (617)
54.7% (1,530)
By Period
Vilardi
Nosek
P1
49.4%
52.2%
P2
43.7%
54.1%
P3
46.7%
54.7%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
38.0%▼
43.5%
46.6%
Nosek
56.0%▲
50.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:09 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 11:10 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 10:53 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 08:44 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 11:04 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 3 | 09:47 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 12, 2021 | 1 | 06:11 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 11:29 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 2 | 07:21 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |