Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lapierre wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 43.4% vs Eller 55.0% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 54.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 65.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 57.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Lapierre
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lapierre
Eller
Last 6: Lapierre 3-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
2
0
Lapierre
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Lapierre
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Lapierre
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (264)
56.0% (459)
-15.1%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
77.8% (9)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
51.9% (54)
-51.9%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +51.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Lapierre is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Lapierre shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Eller
Home
44.2% (138)
52.6% (215)
Away
37.6% (133)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Lapierre
Eller
P1
55.2%
54.1%
P2
40.6%
57.6%
P3
26.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
35.3%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
50.0%▲
41.0%
41.0%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 19:34 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 3 | 09:21 | Neutral | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 18, 2026 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Lars Eller |