Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lapierre wins 36.4% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 39.7% vs Eller 50.5% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 81.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 50.8%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 62.7%
Result
Hendrix Lapierre favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Lapierre
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lapierre
Eller
Last 6: Lapierre 2-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lapierre
1
0
Lapierre
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
2
Lapierre
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Lapierre
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (600)
51.0% (10,168)
-12.5%
Power Play
18.2% (11)
52.8% (621)
-34.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
46.7% (1,740)
-46.7%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Lapierre is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Lapierre shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,010).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Eller
Home
38.6% (334)
51.4% (6,057)
Away
37.4% (278)
49.7% (6,500)
By Period
Lapierre
Eller
P1
46.5%
51.2%
P2
38.0%
50.0%
P3
28.3%
50.2%
Final 5 min
34.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
34.0%▼
40.5%
38.1%
Eller
54.0%▼
58.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 13:34 | Neutral | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 05:13 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 09:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |