Scouting Report
Tom Wilson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 43.4% vs Wilson 48.5% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Lapierre 50.7%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 57.5%
Neutral zone
Wilson 50.4%
Result
Hendrix Lapierre favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Lapierre
Wilson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
40.9% (264)
41.7% (12)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.0% (6)
55.6% (9)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
40.0% (15)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, Wilson has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. Lapierre is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Lapierre shoots left. Wilson is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Wilson
Home
44.2% (138)
33.3% (15)
Away
37.6% (133)
52.4% (21)
By Period
Lapierre
Wilson
P1
55.2%
46.7%
P2
40.6%
50.0%
P3
26.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
35.3%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
50.0%▲
41.0%
41.0%
Wilson
38.0%▬
39.0%
44.4%