Scouting Report
Tom Wilson holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Lapierre wins 42.7% vs right-shot opponents — Wilson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lapierre 40.3% vs Wilson 42.4% (-1.7%)
Offensive zone
Wilson 51.3%
Defensive zone
Lapierre 51.0%
Neutral zone
Lapierre 50.5%
Result
Hendrix Lapierre favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Lapierre
Wilson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lapierre
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (660)
40.7% (241)
-1.6%
Power Play
28.6% (14)
38.5% (65)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
41.3% (104)
-41.3%
On penalty kill, Wilson has a +41.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. Lapierre is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Lapierre shoots left. Wilson is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Lapierre
Wilson
Home
39.1% (366)
33.7% (187)
Away
38.5% (309)
46.2% (223)
By Period
Lapierre
Wilson
P1
47.2%
42.0%
P2
38.7%
44.4%
P3
29.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
33.3%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lapierre
50.0%▲
41.0%
38.8%
Wilson
38.0%▬
39.0%
40.5%