Isac Lundeström vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Isac Lundeström holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 63.4% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 52.0% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 80.1%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 71.4%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 52.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 80.1%
19.9%
80.1%
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Lundeström
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
49.7% (1,038)
+3.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
63.7% (157)
-13.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
34.4% (32)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Lundeström has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lundeström is 63.4% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Lundeström shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
Home / Away
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Home
49.6% (139)
53.1% (618)
Away
57.1% (105)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Lundeström
MacKinnon
P1
53.8%
49.3%
P2
53.5%
53.0%
P3
51.9%
50.7%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |