Isac Lundeström vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.4% vs 46.8%). Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 46.5% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 71.1%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 72.9%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 60.2%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Last 10: Lundeström 4-6 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
2
1
Lundeström
MacKinnon
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
4
Lundeström
MacKinnon
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
3
7
Lundeström
MacKinnon
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,992)
46.1% (11,264)
+1.2%
Power Play
51.4% (74)
53.2% (1,421)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (582)
42.8% (502)
-1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Lundeström is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,184).
Lundeström shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,537).
Home / Away
Lundeström
MacKinnon
Home
47.0% (1,829)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
45.8% (1,819)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Lundeström
MacKinnon
P1
49.3%
47.4%
P2
45.6%
46.6%
P3
44.5%
46.1%
OT
45.5%
48.4%
Final 5 min
44.5%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.4%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 12:55 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 05:18 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 1 | 07:15 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 1 | 09:24 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 19, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 03:19 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 18:03 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 02:41 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 03:05 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |