Scouting Report
Isac Lundeström holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 52.0% vs Cates 45.5% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundeström 56.7%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 89.0%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 73.2%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 67.7%
67.7%
32.3%
Lundeström
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Lundeström
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
1
0
Lundeström
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
2
0
Lundeström
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
45.5% (756)
+7.8%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
42.1% (114)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
44.7% (47)
+5.3%
On power play, Lundeström has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Lundeström is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Lundeström shoots left. Cates is 43.1% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Cates
Home
49.6% (139)
46.2% (468)
Away
57.1% (105)
43.9% (449)
By Period
Lundeström
Cates
P1
53.8%
46.0%
P2
53.5%
47.5%
P3
51.9%
42.1%
OT
0.0%
18.2%
Final 5 min
49.2%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |