Scouting Report
Isac Lundeström holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundeström on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundeström wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 46.5% vs Cates 43.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundeström 62.1%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 82.0%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 71.2%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Lundeström
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Lundeström
Cates
Last 9: Lundeström 8-1 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
3
1
Lundeström
Cates
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
2
0
Lundeström
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
3
0
Lundeström
Cates
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (2,992)
44.1% (2,786)
+3.2%
Power Play
51.4% (74)
42.9% (254)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (582)
34.9% (373)
+6.3%
On power play, Lundeström has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Lundeström is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,464).
Lundeström shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,307).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Cates
Home
47.0% (1,829)
43.9% (1,708)
Away
45.8% (1,819)
42.2% (1,705)
By Period
Lundeström
Cates
P1
49.3%
44.5%
P2
45.6%
43.7%
P3
44.5%
41.2%
OT
45.5%
29.4%
Final 5 min
44.5%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.4%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 10:24 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:15 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:05 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 15:25 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 02:59 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |