Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundeström on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundeström wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 45.0% vs Gourde 49.5% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 71.1%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 53.5%
Neutral zone
Gourde 62.8%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Lundeström
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lundeström
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundeström
2
1
Lundeström
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (785)
49.1% (731)
-3.9%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
54.3% (81)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
36.5% (85)
48.2% (85)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lundeström is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Lundeström shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Gourde
Home
45.8% (428)
50.9% (479)
Away
43.2% (451)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Lundeström
Gourde
P1
48.6%
51.2%
P2
46.5%
49.8%
P3
37.8%
47.5%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.5%
44.5%
Gourde
50.0%▲
43.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 02:12 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Nov 11, 2021 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |