Scouting Report
Isac Lundeström holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Lundeström wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 52.0% vs Gourde 46.0% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 70.0%
Defensive zone
Gourde 58.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 61.1%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 61.1%
38.9%
61.1%
Lundeström
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lundeström
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
2
Lundeström
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (214)
47.2% (687)
+6.1%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
45.0% (20)
+5.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (26)
33.0% (88)
+17.0%
On penalty kill, Lundeström has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Lundeström is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Lundeström shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Gourde
Home
49.6% (139)
44.4% (356)
Away
57.1% (105)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Lundeström
Gourde
P1
53.8%
42.2%
P2
53.5%
50.0%
P3
51.9%
44.5%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 19:02 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |