Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +17.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barbashev wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Carter 56.4% (-17.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 72.5%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 54.0%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 71.8%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Barbashev
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Barbashev
Carter
Last 6: Barbashev 2-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Barbashev
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barbashev
Carter
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Barbashev
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (272)
57.9% (885)
-20.0%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
61.7% (133)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
45.4% (119)
-4.7%
On even strength, Carter has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Barbashev is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Barbashev shoots left. Carter is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (780).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Carter
Home
45.3% (137)
58.2% (543)
Away
36.1% (191)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Barbashev
Carter
P1
41.8%
57.5%
P2
43.1%
57.1%
P3
31.9%
55.8%
OT
75.0%
68.2%
Final 5 min
37.1%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
26.0%▼
36.5%
39.9%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:15 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 14:38 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 12:40 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |